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WEEKS 12 - 17
500 Yard Passers: 1 Won/Loss Record: 0-1 400 Yard Passers: 7 Won/Loss Record: 3-4 300 Yard Passers: 40 Won/Loss Record: 26-14 200 Yard Rushers: 3 Won/Loss Record: 3-0 100 Yard Rushers: 49 Won/Loss Record: 27-21 END OF SEASON TOTALS 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/1 LOSSES 50% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 6 WINS/11 LOSSES 35% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 70 WINS/53 LOSSES 57% Winning Percentage 200 YARD RUSHERS 5 WINS/0 LOSSES 100% winning percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 92 WINS/38 LOSSES 69% Winning Percentage For the season, teams who have had quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more would have a won/loss record total in a 16-game season of 9 WINS/7 LOSSES. For the season, teams who have had player rush for 100 yards or more would have a WON/LOSS record total in a 16-game season of 11 WINS/5 LOSSES. Statistics from NFL.com.
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WEEK ELEVEN
300 Yard Passers: 4 Won/Loss Record: 2-2 100 Yard Rushers: 7 Won/Loss Record: 6-1 300 Yard Passer and 100 Yard Rusher: 2 Won/Loss Record: 2-0 YEAR-TO-DATE TOTALS 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 44 WINS/39 LOSSES 53% Winning Percentage 200 YARD RUSHERS 2 WINS/0 LOSSES 100% winning percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 65 WINS/17 LOSSES 79% Winning Percentage TWO 100 YARD RUSHERS ON THE SAME TEAM 3 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS 5 WIN/1 LOSS 83% Winning Percentage Currently for the season, teams who have had quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more would have a won/loss record total in a 16-game season of 8 WINS/8 LOSSES. Currently for the season, teams who have had player rush for 100 yards or more would have a WON/LOSS record total in a 16-game season of 13 WINS/3 LOSSES. Statistics from NFL.com. Week Ten of the NFL season contained seven quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more and seven running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more.
The seven quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more and the WON/LOSS result of their teams in Week Ten is as follows: Ryan, Atlanta 351 LOSS Brady, New England 329 WIN Stafford, Detroit 329 LOSS Brees, New Orleans 322 WIN Skelton, Arizona 315 WIN Manning, NYGiants 311 LOSS Sanchez, NYJets 306 LOSS That works out to a WON/LOSS record of 3 WINS/4 LOSS, or a 43% winning percentage. The seven running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more and the WON/LOSS result of their teams in Week Ten is as follows: Bush, Oakland 157 WIN Murray, Dallas 135 WIN Johnson, Tennessee 130 WIN Jackson, St. Louis 128 WIN Jackson, Buffalo 114 LOSS Jones-Drew, Jacksonville 114 WIN Lynch, Seattle 109 WIN That works out to a WON/LOSS record of 6 WINS/1 LOSS, or an 86% winning percentage. Year-to-date, this is how these statistics break down: 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 42 WINS/37 LOSSES 53% Winning Percentage 200 YARD RUSHERS 2 WINS/0 LOSSES 100% winning percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 59 WINS/16 LOSSES 79% Winning Percentage TWO 100 YARD RUSHERS ON THE SAME TEAM 3 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS 3 WIN/1 LOSS 75% Winning Percentage Currently for the season, teams who have had quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more would have a won/loss record total in a 16-game season of 8 WINS/8 LOSSES. Currently for the season, teams who have had player rush for 100 yards or more would have a WON/LOSS record total in a 16-game season of 13 WINS/3 LOSSES. The bottom line in the NFL is winning games.To this point in the season, it appears the best chance to win in the NFL is to have a player rush for 100 yards or more during each game. Week Nine of the 2011 NFL Season had five quarterbacks who passed for 300 yard or more and nine players who rushed for 100 yards or more.
The quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more in Week Nine are as follows: Rivers, San Diego 385 LOSS Brady, New England 342 LOSS Palmer, Oakland 332 LOSS Rothlisberger, Pittsburgh 330 LOSS Flacco, Baltimore 300 WIN The teams whose quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more had a combined ONE/LOSS record of 1 WIN/4 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 20% The players who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Nine are as follows: McGahee, Denver 163 WIN Murray, Dallas 139 WIN Lynch, Seattle 135 LOSS Forte, Chicago 133 WIN Jackson, St. Louis 130 LOSS Foster, Houston 124 WIN Tebow, Denver 118 WIN Tate, Houston 115 WIN Gore, San Francisco 107 WIN The teams who had players who rushed for 100 yards or more had a WON/LOSS record of 7 WINS/2 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 78%. In Week Nine, both Houston (Foster/Tate) and Denver (McGahee/Tebow) had two players rush for 100 yards or more. Both of these teams won their games in Week Nine. Year-to-date, this is how these statistics break down: 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 39 WINS/33 LOSSES 54% Winning Percentage 200 YARD RUSHERS 2 WINS/0 LOSSES 100% winning percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 53 WINS/15 LOSSES 78% Winning Percentage TWO 100 YARD RUSHERS ON THE SAME TEAM 3 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS 3 WIN/1 LOSS 75% Winning Percentage Currently for the season, teams who have had quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more would have a won/loss record total in a 16-game season of 9 WINS/7 LOSSES. Currently for the season, teams who have had player rush for 100 yards or more would have a WON/LOSS record total in a 16-game season of 12 WINS/4 LOSSES. We are at the halfway point of the 2011 NFL Season. Once again, the statistics bear it out. If a team wants to win in the NFL, a team must be able to run the ball effectively. Week Eight of the 2011 NFL season brought five quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more and six running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more.
The quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more in Weed Eight are as follows: Rivers, San Diego 369 LOSS Rothisberger, Pittsburgh 365 WIN Manning, NYGiants 349 WIN Flacco, Baltimore 336 WIN Jackson, Seatlle 323 WIN The WON/LOSS record of the teams of these quarterbacks in Week Eight was 4 WINS/1 LOSS, for a winning percentage of 80% Teams whose quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more have shown a marked improvement in WINS/LOSSES over the past two weeks. In Week Seven, quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more had a record of 3 WINS/0 LOSSES last week. Over the past two weeks, the WIN/LOSS record for teams with these quarterbacks have a record of 7 WINS/1 LOSS. The running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Eight are as follows: McCoy, Philadelphia 185 WIN Jackson, St. Louis 159 WIN Gore, San Francisco 134 WIN Jackson, Buffalo 120 WIN Foster, Houston 112 WIN Bush, Miami 103 LOSS The WON/LOSS record of the teams of these running backs in Week Eight was 5 WINS/1 LOSS, for a winning percentage of 83%. Teams whose running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Seven had a WON/LOSS record of 6 WINS/1 LOSS. Over the past two weeks, the WON/LOSS record for teams with these running backs have a record of 11 WINS/1 LOSS. Year-to-date, this is how these statistics bear out: 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 38 WINS/29 LOSSES 57% Winning Percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 46 WINS/13 LOSSES 78% Winning Percentage 200 YARD RUSHERS 2 WINS/0 LOSSES 100% winning percentage TWO 100 YARD RUSHERS ON THE SAME TEAM 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS 3 WIN/1 LOSS 75% Winning Percentage Currently, quarterbacks who pass for 300 yards or more will ultimately lead their teams to a 9 WIN/7 LOSS record by the end of the season. Currently, running backs who rush for 100 yards or more will ultimately lead their teams to a 12 WIN/4 LOSS record by the end of the season. Even though Week Eight of the NFL season showed another vast improvement for teams whose quarterbacks passed for 300 yards or more, it is still clear that to succeed in the NFL and win games, running the ball well will go a long way in producing wins for your team. (Statistics from NFL.com) Week Seven of the NFL season saw a remarkably low number of quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more: 3.
Week Seven of the NFL season had a usual number of running backs rush the ball for 100 yards or more: 8. To this point in the season, statistics have borne out that quarterbacks who pass the ball for 300 yards or more lead their teams to victory at a 50% rate; running backs who run the football for 100 yards or more lead their teams to victory nearly 75% of the time. That is a season won-loss record difference of 8 WINS/8 LOSSES or 12 WINS/4 LOSSES. The breakdown of the quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more in Week Seven of the NFL Season is as follows: Rothlisberger, Pittsburgh 361 WIN Rodgers, Green Bay 335 WIN Brees, New Orleans 325 WIN That adds up to a 3 WIN/0 LOSS record, or a 100% winning percentage - easily the best result for 300-yard-passing quarterbacks this season. However, there were only three quarterbacks who passed for over 300 yards for the week - easily the fewest this season. Even if we take Aaron Rodgers out of these stats (because he is Aaron Rodgers), the won-loss record for these quarterback is 2 WINS/0 LOSSES, and still a 100% winning percentage. The breakdown of running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Seven of the NFL Season is as follows: Murray, Dallas 253 WIN Peterson, Minnesota 175 LOSS Forte, Chicago 145 WIN Turner, Atlanta 122 WIN Foster, Houston 115 WIN Greene, NYJets 112 WIN Jones-Drew 105 WIN Tate, Houston 104 WIN The Houston Texans has two running backs rush for 100 yards or more (Foster/Tate). For the sake of this study, we will only count Houston's win only once. These statistics add up to a 6 WIN/1 LOSS record, or a 86% winning percentage. Year-to-date, this is how these statistics bear out: 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 31 WINS/28 LOSSES 53% Winning Percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 40 WINS/12 LOSSES 77% Winning Percentage 200 YARD RUSHERS 2 WINS/0 LOSSES 100% winning percentage TWO 100 YARD RUSHERS ON THE SAME TEAM 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS 3 WIN/1 LOSS 75% Winning Percentage Week Seven of the NFL Season seems to have brought us more of the same: Pass the ball for 300 yards or more and that team will win the game about half the time. Run the ball for 100 yards or more and three out of four times that team will win. It's not hard to see, or explain. (Statistics from NFL.com) Week Six of the 2011 NFL Season had six quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more.
Week Six of the 2011 NFL Season had eight running backs rush for 100 yards or more. We have seen in previous weeks that passing the ball for 300 or even 400 yards does not at all guarantee wins. We have seen in previous weeks how successfully running the ball in the NFL directly translates into wins. Will Week Six of the NFL Season prove out the same results? Quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more in Week Six, break down like this: Brees, New Orleans 383 LOSS Bradford, St. Louis 328 LOSS Romo, Dallas 317 LOSS Rodgers, Green Bay 316 WIN Flacco, Baltimore 305 WIN Freeman, Tampa Bay 302 WIN The WIN/LOSS record for the teams of theses quarterbacks is 3 WINS/3 LOSSES, for a winning percentage of 50%. Not very impressive. Take out Aaron Rodgers from this equation (because he is Aaron Rodgers), and the WIN/LOSS results for these quarterbacks becomes 2 WINS/3 LOSSES. Running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Six break down like this: Mendenhall, Pittsburgh 146 WIN Gore, San Francisco 141 WIN Turner, Atlanta 139 WIN McCoy, Philadelphia 126 WIN Jackson, Buffalo 121 LOSS Graham, Tampa Bay 109 WIN Bradshaw, NYGiants 104 WIN Rice, Baltimore 101 WIN The WIN/LOSS record for the teams of these running backs is 7 WINS/1 LOSS, for a winning percentage of 88%. That is downright dominating. Tampa Bay had a 300 yard passer and a 100 yard rusher in Week Six (Freeman/Graham). Baltimore also had a 300 yard passer and a 100 yard rusher in Week Six (Flacco/Rice). Year-to-date, here are these statistics broken out: 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 28 WINS/28 LOSSES 50% Winning Percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 34 WINS/11 LOSSES 74% Winning Percentage BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS 3 WIN/1 LOSS 75% Winning Percentage Once again, the statistics are proving out what we have always known: To be successful in football (and the NFL) a team needs to be able to run the ball consistently well. (Statistics from NFL.com) Week Five of the NFL Season included six quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more. Two quarterbacks passed for 400 yards or more.
Eleven running backs rushed for 100 yards or more. In our continuing study of these statistical and yardage outputs, how will these numbers further translate into WINS or LOSSES for the teams of these players. The quarterbacks who passed for over 400 yards in Week Five are as follows: Manning, NYGiants 420 LOSS Schaub, Houston 416 LOSS That works out to a WIN/LOSS record of 0 WINS/2 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 0%. The quarterbacks who passed for over 300 yards in Week Five are as follows: Manning, NYGiants 420 LOSS Schaub, Houston 416 LOSS Rodgers, Green Bay 396 WIN Brees, New Orleans 359 WIN Brady, New England 321 WIN Vick, Philadelphia 315 LOSS That works out to a WIN/LOSS record of 3 WINS/3 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 50%. Take out Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady (because they are Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady), the WON/LOSS record then becomes 1 WIN/3 LOSSES. That equals a winning percentage of 25%. The running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Five are as follows: Best, Dteroit 163 WIN Green-Ellis, New England 136 WIN Gore, San Francisco 125 WIN Matthews, San Diego 125 WIN McGahee, Denver 125 LOSS Peterson, Minnesota 122 WIN Battle, Kansas City 119 WIN Forte, Chicago 116 LOSS Williams, Carolina 115 LOSS Jackson, Buffalo 111 WIN Dwyer, Pittsburgh 107 WIN That works out to a WIN/LOSS record of 8 WINS/3 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 73% New England had a 300 yard passer (Brady) and a 100 yard rusher (Green-Ellis) in Week Five. Year-to-date, here is how these results break down: 500 YARD PASSERS 1 WIN/0 LOSSES 100% Winning Percentage 400 YARD PASSERS 3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage 300 YARD PASSERS 25 WINS/25 LOSSES 50% Winning Percentage 100 YARD RUSHERS 27 WINS/10 LOSSES 73% Winning Percentage BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS 1 WIN/1 LOSS 50% Winning Percentage The data is still bearing itself out. It's only Week Five. It looks like the way to win in the NFL is to run the football successfully. Week Four of the 2011 NFL Season had two quarterbacks pass for over 400 yards, eight quarterbacks pass for over 300 yards and nine running backs rush for over 100 yards.
The breakdown of the quarterbacks who passed for over 400 yards in Week Four is as follows: Vick, Philadelphia 416 LOSS 1-3 Rodgers, Green Bay 408 WIN 4-0 The WON/LOSS record of teams whose quarterback passed for over 400 yards in Week Four is 1 WIN/1 LOSS, equalling a winning percentage of 50%. If we take out Aaron Rodgers (because he is Aaron Rodgers - and he also ran for 2 touchdowns this week), the WON/LOSS record for teams whose quarterback passed for 400 yards or more is 0 WIN/1 LOSS, or winning percentage of 0%. The complete breakdown of quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more in Week Three is as follows: Vick, Philadelphia 416 LOSS 1-3 Rodgers, Green Bay 408 WIN 4-0 Newton, Carolina 374 LOSS 1-3 Brees, New Orleans 351 WIN 3-1 McCoy, Cleveland 350 LOSS 2-2 Campbell, Oakland 344 LOSS 2-2 Romo, Dallas 331 LOSS 2-2 Manning, NY Giants 321 WIN 3-1 Jackson, Seattle 319 LOSS 1-3 Rivers, San Diego 307 WIN 3-1 The combined WON/LOSS record for teams whose quarterback passed for 300 yards or more in Week Four is 4 WINS/6 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 40%. That is not impressive at all. If we take out Aaron Rodgers (because he is Aaron Rodgers - and he also ran for 2 touchdowns this week), the WON/LOSS record for teams whose quarterback passed for 300 yards or more is 3 WINS/6 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 33%. The breakdown of running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Four is as follows: Forte, Chicago 205 WIN 2-2 Foster, Houston 155 WIN 3-1 Wells, Arizona 138 LOSS 1-3 Tourain, Washington 135 WIN 3-1 Blount, Tampa Bay 127 WIN 3-1 Gore, San Francisco 127 WIN 3-1 Benson, Cincinnati 104 WIN 2-2 McGahee, Denver 103 LOSS 1-3 Johnson, Tennessee 101 WIN 3-1 The combined WON/LOSS record for teams whose running back rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Four is 7 WINS/2 LOSSES, for a winning percentage of 78%. That is very impressive. For the year, the numbers break down as follows: Teams whose quarterbacks passed for 500 yards or more in a game have a season record of 1 WIN/0 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 100%. Teams whose quarterbacks passed for 400 yards or more in a game have a season record of 3 WINS/5 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 38%. Teams whose quarterbacks passed for 300 yards or more in a game have a season record of 22 WINS/22 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 50%. Teams whose running back rushed for 100 yards or more in a game have a season record of 19 WINS/7 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 73%. The 2011 NFL season is a quarter over and the numbers are clear: If you want to win in the NFL, run the ball for 100 yards or more in a game and you will win 3 out of every 4 games. That works out to a 12-4 season record and probably home field advantage for the entire playoffs and at the very least, a first round Bye. Week Three in the NFL had 11 quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more and only four running backs rush for 100 yards or more.
The breakdown of the quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more is like this: Flacco, Baltimore 389 WIN 2-1 Brady, New England 387 LOSS 2-1 Stafford, Detroit 378 WIN 3-0 Shaub, Texas 373 LOSS 1-2 Brees, New Orleans 370 WIN 2-1 Fitzpatrick, Buffalo 369 WIN 3-0 Sanchez, NY Jets, 369 LOSS 1-2 Rothlisberger, Pittsburgh 364 WIN 2-1 Ryan, Atlanta 330 LOSS 1-2 Hasselbeck, Tennessee 311 WIN 2-1 Cutler, Chicago 302 LOSS The total WIN/LOSS record for teams with a quarterback who passed for 300 yards or more in Week #3 is 6 WINS/5 LOSSES, and a winning percentage of 55%. Still not very impressive. Take the Tom Brady factor (because he is Tom Brady) and the results become 6 WINS/4 LOSSES, and a winning percentage of 60%. That is a better result. We should mention that Brady threw 4 touchdowns along with his 387 yards - and he also threw 4 interceptions in Week #3. The breakdown of the running backs who ran for 100 yards or more is like this: McFadden, Oakland 171 WIN 2-1 McCoy, Philadelphia 128 LOSS 1-2 Jones-Drew, Jacksonville 122 LOSS 1-2 Jones, Dallas 115 WIN 2-1 The total WIN/LOSS record for teams with a running back who ran for 100 yards or more in Week #3 is 2 WINS/2 LOSSES, and a winning percentage of 50%. That is not impressive. Week #3 is the first week of the season that teams with a running back who rushed for 100 yards or more did not have a winning percentage for the week above 50%. To date, the season results in these categories are as follows: 300 YARD PASSERS 18 WNS 16 LOSSES (53% winning percentage) 100 YARD RUSHERS 12 WINS 5 LOSSES (71% winning percentage) Maybe the NFL is setting down going into the fourth week of the season. Maybe passing yards and rushing yards will even out. I don't think so - I still think to win in the NFL a team needs to be able to run the ball. A team also needs to play defense... If a team can stop the opposition from scoring they will need to pass the ball less because they will not need to catch up to the opponent; and they will probably run the ball more. Oh no, I might have to begin tracking the Points Allowed statistic as well... (Statistics from NFL.com) |
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