Pass For 300 Or Rush For 100, Part Eight

Week Seven of the NFL season saw a remarkably low number of quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more: 3.

Week Seven of the NFL season had a usual number of running backs rush the ball for 100 yards or more: 8.

To this point in the season, statistics have borne out that quarterbacks who pass the ball for 300 yards or more lead their teams to victory at a 50% rate; running backs who run the football for 100 yards or more lead their teams to victory nearly 75% of the time. That is a season won-loss record difference of 8 WINS/8 LOSSES or 12 WINS/4 LOSSES.

The breakdown of the quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more in Week Seven of the NFL Season is as follows:

Rothlisberger, Pittsburgh  361  WIN
Rodgers, Green Bay  335  WIN
Brees, New Orleans  325  WIN

That adds up to a 3 WIN/0 LOSS record, or a 100% winning percentage - easily the best result for 300-yard-passing quarterbacks this season. However, there were only three quarterbacks who passed for over 300 yards for the week - easily the fewest this season.

Even if we take Aaron Rodgers out of these stats (because he is Aaron Rodgers), the won-loss record for these quarterback is 2 WINS/0 LOSSES, and still a 100% winning percentage.

The breakdown of running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Seven of the NFL Season is as follows:

Murray, Dallas  253  WIN
Peterson, Minnesota  175  LOSS
Forte, Chicago  145  WIN
Turner, Atlanta  122  WIN
Foster, Houston  115  WIN
Greene, NYJets  112  WIN
Jones-Drew  105  WIN
Tate, Houston  104  WIN

The Houston Texans has two running backs rush for 100 yards or more (Foster/Tate). For the sake of this study, we will only count Houston's win only once. 

These statistics add up to a 6 WIN/1 LOSS record, or a 86% winning percentage.

Year-to-date, this is how these statistics bear out:

500 YARD PASSERS
1 WIN/0 LOSSES  100% Winning Percentage

400 YARD PASSERS
3 WINS/7 LOSSES 30% Winning Percentage

300 YARD PASSERS
31 WINS/28 LOSSES  53% Winning Percentage

100 YARD RUSHERS
40 WINS/12 LOSSES  77% Winning Percentage

200 YARD RUSHERS
2 WINS/0 LOSSES  100% winning percentage

TWO 100 YARD RUSHERS ON THE SAME TEAM
1 WIN/0 LOSSES  100% Winning Percentage

BOTH A 300 YARD PASSER AND 100 YARD RUSHERS
3 WIN/1 LOSS  75% Winning Percentage


Week Seven of the NFL Season seems to have brought us more of the same: Pass the ball for 300 yards or more and that team will win the game about half the time. Run the ball for 100 yards or more and three out of four times that team will win. It's not hard to see, or explain.
(Statistics from NFL.com)