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Pass For 300 Or Rush For 100, Part Four

10/5/2011

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Week Four of the 2011 NFL Season had two quarterbacks pass for over 400 yards, eight quarterbacks pass for over 300 yards and nine running backs rush for over 100 yards.

The breakdown of the quarterbacks who passed for over 400 yards in Week Four is as follows:

Vick, Philadelphia  416  LOSS  1-3
Rodgers, Green Bay  408  WIN  4-0

The WON/LOSS record of teams whose quarterback passed for over 400 yards in Week Four is 1 WIN/1 LOSS, equalling a winning percentage of 50%. 

If we take out Aaron Rodgers (because he is Aaron Rodgers - and he also ran for 2 touchdowns this week), the WON/LOSS record for teams whose quarterback passed for 400 yards or more is 0 WIN/1 LOSS, or winning percentage of 0%.

The complete breakdown of quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more in Week Three is as follows:

Vick, Philadelphia  416  LOSS  1-3
Rodgers, Green Bay  408  WIN  4-0
Newton, Carolina  374  LOSS  1-3
Brees, New Orleans  351  WIN  3-1
McCoy, Cleveland  350  LOSS  2-2
Campbell, Oakland  344  LOSS  2-2
Romo, Dallas  331  LOSS  2-2
Manning, NY Giants  321  WIN  3-1
Jackson, Seattle  319  LOSS  1-3
Rivers, San Diego  307  WIN  3-1

The combined WON/LOSS record for teams whose quarterback passed for 300 yards or more in Week Four is 4 WINS/6 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 40%. That is not impressive at all.

If we take out Aaron Rodgers (because he is Aaron Rodgers - and he also ran for 2 touchdowns this week), the WON/LOSS record for teams whose quarterback passed for 300 yards or more is  3 WINS/6 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 33%.

The breakdown of running backs who rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Four is as follows:

Forte, Chicago  205  WIN  2-2
Foster, Houston  155  WIN  3-1
Wells, Arizona  138  LOSS  1-3
Tourain, Washington  135  WIN  3-1
Blount, Tampa Bay  127  WIN  3-1
Gore, San Francisco  127  WIN  3-1
Benson, Cincinnati  104  WIN  2-2
McGahee, Denver  103  LOSS  1-3
Johnson, Tennessee  101  WIN  3-1

The combined WON/LOSS record for teams whose running back rushed for 100 yards or more in Week Four is 7 WINS/2 LOSSES, for a winning percentage of 78%. That is very impressive.

For the year, the numbers break down as follows:

Teams whose quarterbacks passed for 500 yards or more in a game have a season record of
1 WIN/0 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 100%.

Teams whose quarterbacks passed for 400 yards or more in a game have a season record of
3 WINS/5 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 38%.

Teams whose quarterbacks passed for 300 yards or more in a game have a season record of 
22 WINS/22 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 50%.

Teams whose running back rushed for 100 yards or more in a game have a season record of
19 WINS/7 LOSSES, or a winning percentage of 73%.

The 2011 NFL season is a quarter over and the numbers are clear:
If you want to win in the NFL, run the ball for 100 yards or more in a game and you will win 3 out of every 4 games. That works out to a 12-4 season record and probably home field advantage for the entire playoffs and at the very least, a first round Bye.

It's not rocket science - it's football.
(Statistics from NFL.com)
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