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Rush For 100 or Pass For 300, Part Three

10/2/2011

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Week Three in the NFL had 11 quarterbacks pass for 300 yards or more and only four running backs rush for 100 yards or more.

The breakdown of the quarterbacks who passed for 300 yards or more is like this:

Flacco, Baltimore   389  WIN  2-1
Brady, New England  387  LOSS  2-1
Stafford, Detroit  378  WIN  3-0
Shaub, Texas  373  LOSS  1-2
Brees, New Orleans  370  WIN  2-1
Fitzpatrick, Buffalo  369  WIN  3-0
Sanchez, NY Jets, 369  LOSS  1-2
Rothlisberger, Pittsburgh  364  WIN  2-1
Ryan, Atlanta  330  LOSS  1-2
Hasselbeck, Tennessee  311  WIN  2-1
Cutler, Chicago  302  LOSS

The total WIN/LOSS record for teams with a quarterback who passed for 300 yards or more in Week #3 is 6 WINS/5 LOSSES, and a winning percentage of 55%. Still not very impressive.

Take the Tom Brady factor (because he is Tom Brady) and the results become 
6 WINS/4 LOSSES, and a winning percentage of 60%. That is a better result. We should mention that Brady threw 4 touchdowns along with his 387 yards - and he also threw 4 interceptions in Week #3.

The breakdown of the running backs who ran for 100 yards or more is like this:

McFadden, Oakland  171  WIN  2-1
McCoy, Philadelphia  128  LOSS  1-2
Jones-Drew, Jacksonville  122  LOSS  1-2
Jones, Dallas  115  WIN  2-1

The total WIN/LOSS record for teams with a running back who ran for 100 yards or more in Week #3 is 2 WINS/2 LOSSES, and a winning percentage of 50%. That is not impressive.

Week #3 is the first week of the season that teams with a running back who rushed for 100 yards or more did not have a winning percentage for the week above 50%.

To date, the season results in these categories are as follows:

300 YARD PASSERS
18 WNS   16 LOSSES
(53% winning percentage)

100 YARD RUSHERS
12 WINS   5 LOSSES
(71% winning percentage)

Maybe the NFL is setting down going into the fourth week of the season.
Maybe passing yards and rushing yards will even out.

I don't think so - 
I still think to win in the NFL a team needs to be able to run the ball.

A team also needs to play defense...
If a team can stop the opposition from scoring they will need to pass the ball less because they will not need to catch up to the opponent; and they will probably run the ball more.

Oh no, I might have to begin tracking the Points Allowed statistic as well...
(Statistics from NFL.com)
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